Ethiopia. Updates on other conflicts in the country.
While the fighting raging in the regions of Afar and Amhara and the crisis with Sudan worsened after peace mediation Addis Ababa rejection; the situation in the other fronts in the country is aggravating. Despite the fact that international media ignore these “minor” conflicts they, represent the clearest evidence that the Prosperity Party regime is progressively losing control of Ethiopia.
By now TPLF intention is oriented to implement a regimen change in Addis Ababa, with the rack and active support of the United States and France. Unit of the Tigray regular army have occupy the areas of Nefas Mewcha (AMHARA region). The next goals are the areas of Wereta and Iay in order to be able to besiege the regional capital of Gondar. A possible fall of Gondar could avoid other bloodshed and force to the capitulation the Prosperity Party leadership.
Addis’s regime is trying to put a strong resistance. The goal of the Ethiopian Prime Minister and Amhara nationalist leadership is to be able to prolong the civil war, hoping about Turkey and Russia active support that would allow to create a Syrian scenario, ideal for staying in power by controlling part of the country.
In an attempt to counter the defeats suffered in Afar and Amhara, the regime is trying to strengthen the ethnic war between Amhara and Tegaru. In addition to the second demonstration of strength externally in the Prosperity Party support event in Addis Ababa, the regime accelerated media campaigns on social media to incite genocide and ethnic hatred against 7 million own citizens.
Addis Ababa National Theater is also used to these purposes. On Sunday 8 August a theatrical representation focused on ethnic hatred against the Tegaru, presenting as Fakenews the ethnic cleaning in place in Tigray. The actors have incited the public to promote campaigns on social media to increase awareness of danger from TPLF and his western allies.
The Prosperity Party regime has taken the road of the front fight with the United States. The national television broadcasters under regime control accuses USAID to be an espionage agency and to work to dismantle Ethiopia. Identical accusation aimed at the WFP, considered now enemy of Ethiopia.
While international media follow the evolution of the events in Afar and Amhara, other fronts of the civil war in place in the country make us understand that the Addis Ababa regime is in strong difficulty and is desperately trying to contain the national centrifugal forces tense to a radical regime change.
Oromo Liberation Army (Ola) guekrrilla is trying to conquer other areas in Oromia regione and consolidate those already under his control. In the south of Oromia, OLA claims the capture of Malka Guba federal military base. The whole district of Bule Hora, with the exception of its capital, is under OLA control after a week of intense fighting. Heavy clashes continued for now a month in the District of Gumi-Eldano. Dhaka Qalati’s federal military base, Liban district, is surrounded. The Ola guerrillas have lunch different attacks but ENDF federal soldiers resist.
Clashes between Ola and ENDF continue in the districts of Madda Walabu while OLA launched a large offensive in the North Shawa area by placing the main road that crosses the area to reach the Amhara region under his control. The control of this road axis prevents the central government from sending reinforcements in Amhara to contain the offensives of Tigray regular army.
On August 7th OLA guerrillas destroyed the federal military base at Yaya Haro and freed the cities of Ali Doro and Ula Umpmo. The federal army is organizing a counteroffensive to resume control of cities and military base. Most of the Nunu Kumba district is under OLA control. Heavy fighting are underway in Hora Bacha and Birinqas federal resistance pockets. OLA claims the liberation of the Limmu Galila district. Furious fighting are underway in the district of Gidami, Kelem Walaga. Under attack ENDF military bases of Buri, Gidami and “China Camp”.
Several desertions are registred between the ranks of the federal police and special forces in Oromia who no longer want to continue the fratricidal war in their region on behalf of the Prosperity Party. Various deserters would be join OLA guerrillas. Others simply thrown away weapons and uniforms, hiding between the civilian population.
According to the personal opinion of an African Unione military observer, OLA movement would stay tripling its war efforts in Oromia in order to guarantee main Oromo opposition parties: Oromo Liberation Front and Oromo Federalist Congress of having more weight in a possible future government of national unity.
The newborn Gambella Liberation Front GLF invited the Ethiopian citizens of the Gambella region to join the liberation struggle. He also invited federal soldiers to desert and join the Tigray regular army. At the moment there are no significant military operations conducted by GLF.
After Prosperity Party Sudan peace mediation rejection and the call to Khartoum of the Sudanese Ambassador of Addis Ababa, Amhara paramilitary militias attacked villages in the Sudanese territory of Al-Fashqa. The Sudanese army managed to reject them over frontier.
In the Benishangul-Gumuz region (where the Mega Dam Gerd rises) a self-styling group armed: Benisangul Gunmen claims control of the city of Kamashi, adjacent to oromy.
In the region of Gedo, Somalia, the troops of the Ethiopian contingent that are fighting Al-Shabaab the Islamic terrorists are shooting each other. The case would originate from an attempt by the Amhara officers attempts to arrest Tegaru officers. The provisional budget offered by the Somali authorities is 2 killed soldiers and dozens of injured.
